Despite the common inclination to bet on the over in games featuring Washington's offense, my prediction is that the Wolverines' defense will prevent the total score from surpassing the 56-point threshold. Michigan is expected to excel in ground attacks against the Huskies' defensive front, implementing this strategy early in the game and relying on it later to control the clock and limit Pennix's opportunities. While there might be occasional openings for play-action, I foresee Michigan sticking closely to its ground game plan.
While the Huskies boast an electrifying offensive lineup, they generally prefer a slower pace of play. Assuming RB Dillon Johnson is fit to play, Washington should still be effective in moving the ball on the ground. In their recent game, the Longhorns' defensive front posed a significant challenge, but the Wolverines' pass rush is anticipated to be the toughest test the Huskies have faced. Although Penix Jr. and the Dawgs' outstanding receivers are likely to make impactful plays, Michigan's secondary has consistently troubled opposing quarterbacks throughout the season. While Washington will undoubtedly achieve some explosive plays, replicating the success it had against Texas is improbable.
The market indicates that over 62% of the tickets are on the Over, but 52% of the money favors the Under. This game is evenly split between the side and total, which is an ideal scenario for bookmakers. However, I noticed the total initially rose to 57 before dropping back down to 56. This suggests there may be some sharp action on the Under tonight. My prediction is 54 points combined for this National Championship game.
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Pick: Under 56 (-110)
🍀Best of luck!
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