Providence has struggled with injuries throughout the season, which has significantly impacted their offensive consistency. However, they can count on their defense, particularly when playing at home. The Friars are limiting opponents to just 67 points per game, with opponents shooting 39.2% from the field and 23.8% from beyond the arc.
Villanova is fresh off a significant victory against St. John's, where they shot 53.1% from the field and 46% from three-point range. The Wildcats have a 6-4 record straight up and a 4-6 record against the spread in their last ten matchups with the Friars, with six of those games going under the total.
I anticipate a potential letdown for the Wildcats following such an emotional win. They are currently favored by just -2.5, which is noteworthy given the Friars' recent struggles. This short spread suggests a tight contest, and I expect scoring to be challenging. I project the combined score for this game to fall between 137 and 140 points.
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Pick: Under 142 (-110)
🍀Best of luck!
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