Two teams are moving in opposite directions. Villanova is gaining momentum, having won their last two games and covered the spread in their last 3! On the other hand, Georgetown is in the midst of a rebuilding phase and is hoping to halt their losing streak, having now lost their last 9 games.
I strongly believe this game will result in an Over, as I can envision Villanova capitalizing on Georgetown's vulnerable defense. The Wildcats are averaging over 9.2 three-pointers per game, exploiting the Hoyas' primary weakness, as demonstrated in their recent loss to Creighton. Despite their struggles, Georgetown continues to score over 70 points per game, and if they can reach the mid-60s, it should provide enough scoring to surpass the posted total. Additionally, the Over has hit in 8 of the Hoyas' last 9 games as an underdog.
According to SportsInsights, more than 70% of the wagers are on the Under, but 54% of the total money is on the Over. This discrepancy likely caused the total to move from 139.5 to 140.5. It seems that the sharp bettors are leaning towards the Over for this game, and I concur with this assessment. Based on my models, I anticipate a combined total of 140-143 points for this matchup!
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Pick: Over 140 (-120)
🍀Best of luck!
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