In their last seven matchups, these two teams have surpassed 139 points just once, highlighting a consistent trend of defensive play that is unlikely to change tonight. VCU averages 78.7 points per game this season, but they rank 169th in field goal percentage and 218th in three-point shooting. Additionally, they play at one of the slowest paces, sitting at 208th in adjusted tempo. Dayton's offense isn't significantly better, averaging 74.6 points with a shooting percentage of 46.6%. They also prefer a slow tempo, ranking 281st. While VCU boasts a stronger defense, Dayton excels at protecting the basketball and committing few fouls. I project this game to fall within the 132-135 points range, indicating strong value on the Under. Expect a closely contested game, as reflected by the spread, which may hinge on free throws in the closing moments.
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Pick: Under 139 (-110)
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