The public tends to overreact to injury news, and Oddsmakers consistently capitalize on it. Villanova's standout guard, Jordan Longino, being sidelined has led to a drop in the total from the opening point. This signals that the public is heavily favoring the Under for the morning game. However, I find it noteworthy that the total opened 2.5 points lower than my initial expectations, presenting a compelling opportunity to bet on the Over.
Despite Longino's absence, Villanova has reliable players like Eric Dixon, Caleb Daniels, and Brandon Slater to compensate. Joel Soriano spearheads the Red Storm's offense, boasting one of the few double-double averages in College Basketball. With contributors like Daniss Jenkins, who averages 12.4 points and over 6 assists per game, St. Johns prefers an erratic, fast-paced offensive style, ranking 85th in pace. They are averaging 79.7 points per game and allowing 69.9 points.
According to my calculations, this game should yield a combined total of 145-148 points. Therefore, I recommend taking the Over.
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Pick: Over 143 (-110)
🍀Best of luck!
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