Following a refreshing break, the NBA returns with the Orlando Magic and Cleveland Cavaliers squaring off in the Eastern Conference. This marks the first game back since the All-Star Break for both teams. Orlando was represented by Paolo Banchero, while Cleveland sent Donovan Mitchell to the All-Star Game. With both teams well-rested, anticipation is high for a strong showing on both ends of the court. Remarkably, both teams rank within the top 10 defensively in the NBA.
Recently, Cleveland has favored the Under, with 4 of their last 5 games ending below the projected total, boasting a record of 13-5-1 in their previous 19 outings. The Cavs' defense stands out, ranking 2nd in the NBA, allowing only 109.2 points per game, presenting a formidable challenge for opposing teams. Conversely, Orlando has struggled offensively this season, averaging only 111.7 points per game (26th), with shooting percentages of 47.3% from the floor and 34.8% from beyond the arc. However, the Magic's stout defense, conceding only 110.9 points per game, should help counter the Cavaliers' moderate offensive output.
Initially set at 216, the total has climbed to 217, with over 70% of bets favoring the Over, suggesting a contrarian perspective for this game. A low-scoring affair is anticipated, with both teams likely to struggle to surpass 105 points. Despite Cleveland's convincing victory in their previous encounter, fatigue plagued the Magic. This matchup is expected to be closely contested, potentially decided by free throws. Both teams tend to operate at a slower pace, often utilizing the shot clock. Notably, the Under has prevailed in 36 out of 54 of the Cavaliers' games as a home favorite of 5-10.5 points.
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Pick: Under 217 (-110)
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