The stage is set for an intriguing matchup in the betting arena, with Sportsinsights indicating that over 80% of the bets favor NC State and the Over. However, my analysis points in a different direction, making this my preferred game on the betting board. Contrary to the popular sentiment, my numbers align with support for Kansas State and the Under.
The Wolfpack's struggles on the road, where they score just 22.4 points compared to their 26.7 points at home, suggest a potential challenge. With Kansas State boasting an impressive 37.8 points per game, NC State may need to heavily rely on their defense to keep the game close.
Avery Johnson stepping in at quarterback for KSU signifies a drop-off from the starting quarterback, Will Howard. Furthermore, the absence of the top two receivers for Kansas State provides NC State with a slight advantage in my estimation. Despite the Wildcats' usual proficiency in both running and passing, they will face a formidable defense that effectively limits opponents to an average of 21.2 points per game. Anticipating a strategic shift, I envision the Wildcats emphasizing the running game to curtail Kansas State's big-play potential, ultimately leading to a lower-scoring contest. My handicapping places the projected combined points at 45-48.
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Pick: Under 49 (-110)
(1x- Two Team Parlay +227)
Kansas State ML -140
Under 49 -110
🍀Best of luck!
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