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Maryland vs Northwestern (6:00pm)

Updated: Mar 6, 2024



Both teams in this matchup adopt a deliberate and slow-paced playing style, favoring a strategy to grind out games. According to KenPom, Northwestern holds the 336th rank in adjusted tempo, while Maryland is positioned at 296th. Maryland has struggled with field goal conversion this season, sitting at #296 in overall field goal percentage according to Halsmetrics. Northwestern boasts a defensive advantage, securing the 93rd rank in defensive efficiency.


After a recent road loss to Wisconsin, where offensive struggles led to a mere 25 first-half points, the Wildcats aim for a rebound. However, they face the challenge of a robust Maryland defense ranked 30th in the nation for defensive efficiency. Despite Northwestern's affinity for three-pointers, they may face difficulties tonight, given Maryland's impressive defensive record of allowing only 5.3 three-pointers per game this season, ranking 10th in this category.


With over 71% of the public betting on the Over, the total has shot up 3 points. This game stands out as one of the most one-sided bets on the current betting board. Based on my calculations, I anticipate this game to fall within the 125-128 point range. Additionally, it's worth noting that the Under has a favorable trend, with an 18-7-1 record in the Terrapins' last 26 road games.


Pick: Under 132 (-110)


🍀Best of luck!

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