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Los Angeles Rams vs Philadelphia Eagles (12:00pm)


I strongly favor the Under 43.5 for this game, and for several reasons. One major factor is that the Over has become a significant liability for sportsbooks, with over 70% of both tickets and money currently backing it, according to SportsInsights. The total opened at 44.5 but has dropped to 41.5 before bouncing back, likely due to an influx of recreational bets.


Both offenses are slow starters; the Rams average just 8.6 points in the first half, while the Eagles score around 12.4. On the defensive side, both teams have excelled in the playoffs. The Rams have allowed only 33 points across their last four games with starters, and Philadelphia boasts the top defense in the NFL. Last week, the Eagles made a statement by shutting out the Packers in the first half and forcing four turnovers, including three interceptions and a fumble.


Los Angeles will face a tough challenge against such a formidable defense, especially given today’s cold, wet, and windy conditions. Matthew Stafford has historically struggled in adverse weather, with a record of 1-8 in such games, a 54.6% completion rate, and a passer rating of 76.0. The Rams rank 25th in Red Zone efficiency and 24th in Third Down conversions, providing little reason to expect much scoring from them today. Since 2022, in 18 outdoor road games, the Rams have combined for 43 points or fewer in 14 of those outings.


This matchup will likely be determined in the trenches, with the Eagles likely to run frequently with S. Barkley, while the Rams may opt for quick, short passes to gain yards. Both teams have trended towards the Under this season, with Los Angeles at 8-10 and Philadelphia at 7-11. My projections suggest a combined score between 40-43 points, giving us a slight edge at the current odds available.


(2x-Rated Members Only)

Pick: Under 43.5 (-115)


🍀Best of luck!

ExclusiveVipSports



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