Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears (5:20pm)

Green Bay are listed as the underdog! The Bookmakers got this one wrong!

Historical Dominance in the Rivalry

The Packers have owned the Bears in recent years, winning 10 of the last 11 meetings since 2019, with Chicago's lone victory coming in a narrow upset. Just two weeks ago in Week 14, Green Bay edged out Chicago 28-21 at Lambeau Field, sealing the win with a late interception of Bears quarterback Caleb Williams in the end zone. Even on the road at Soldier Field, where the Bears are 5-1 this season, Green Bay has won four straight visits, often by controlling the line of scrimmage and forcing turnovers. History doesn't guarantee a win, but in this heated rivalry, it provides a psychological and strategic blueprint for success.

Packers Offensive Efficiency

Despite the Bears' slightly better record, the Packers rank higher in key efficiency metrics that often decide close games. Green Bay boasts a .33 EPA (Expected Points Added) per play on third downs, superior red-zone efficiency, and a more balanced aerial attack compared to Chicago's run-heavy approach. Jordan Love, while not flawless (he threw two interceptions last week against Denver), has shown poise in high-pressure situations, including the Week 14 win over the Bears where he led his team to a game-winning drive. In contrast, the Bears have been labeled "paper tigers" by analysts, overperforming due to luck (ranking No. 2 in NFL Luck Rankings) rather than consistent dominance. Chicago's offense relies heavily on the ground game, averaging 171.8 rushing yards per game since their Week 5 bye, but that could be neutralized by Green Bay's front seven, even without All-Pro pass rusher Micah Parsons (out for the season with a torn ACL).

Final Thoughts

In a tight, low-scoring affair, the Packers will leverage their efficiency, historical edge, and defensive opportunism to pull out a 23-20 victory, completing the season sweep and keeping their playoff hopes alive. Green Bay will win this game straight up, receiving a point from the bookmakers is a gift! Happy Holidays!

(2x-Rated Members Only) Pick: Green Bay Packers +1 (-110)

🍀Best of luck!

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