The Warriors exhibit inconsistency, alternating between impressive performances and lackluster ones. Their current season has seen a decline, ranking 11th in offensive efficiency and shooting 13.6% worse than their opponents on average. Consequently, scoring against the Heat tonight may pose a challenge. Miami boasts formidable defensive statistics, including a top-10 turnover percentage, defensive rebounding percentage, and free-throw rate. Ranked 4th in scoring defense, they allow a mere 108.9 points per game. However, Miami's offensive output is modest, averaging only 109.6 points per game. Notably, the Heat have a history of low-scoring games, with the under-hitting in 35 of their last 51 overall matchups, while the Warriors have been successful in 14 of their last 20 games as favorites. All signs point towards a defensive-oriented matchup, with my projections indicating a combined total of 215-218 points.
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Pick: Under 218 (-110)
🍀Best of luck!
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