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Cleveland Guardians vs Boston Red Sox (10:35am)

The Red Sox haven't had the best start this season, dropping six of their last eight games. However, I anticipate they'll bounce back, starting with a win against the Guardians today. Despite their recent struggles, the Red Sox boast the league's top ERA at 2.74 and are tied for third in home runs. Brennan Bernardino will take the mound for Boston in what's set to be a bullpen game. He holds a solid track record against the Guardians with a 1-1 record, a 1.59 ERA, and 5 strikeouts.

On the flip side, Carlos Carrasco will be pitching for the Guardians. While he's had a mediocre season so far with an 0-1 record and a 3.55 ERA, his history against the Red Sox isn't promising, standing at 1-4 with an 8.29 ERA. Carrasco's recent performance, marked by a shaky 11/9 strikeout-to-walk ratio over his last three starts, poses a risk. If he struggles to pitch deep into the game, it could put pressure on the Guardians' bullpen.

According to SportsInsights, over 70% of bets and money are on the Guardians, causing the line to shift from an opening +105 underdog to a -113 favorite. This significant movement should raise red flags for sports bettors, often signaling a public underdog to avoid.

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Pick: Boston Red Sox ML (-102)

🍀Best of luck!



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