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Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners (1:10pm)

  • 3 days ago
  • 2 min read

The Orioles vs. Mariners matchup has all the makings of an Under because this game sets up around pitching, environment, and two offenses that will need to string together hits to score instead relying on the long ball to put up runs.


Bryan Woo is the key piece for Seattle. Even though he has had some volatility this season, his profile is still built for run prevention when he is commanding the zone. Woo does not beat himself with walks, attacks hitters early, and has the type of fastball/secondary mix that can neutralize a Baltimore lineup that can be dangerous but also swing-and-miss heavy. After getting hit around by this same Orioles team, this is also a bounce-back spot for Woo and Seattle. Look for him to be aggressive, work ahead, and avoid free baserunners.


On the other hand, Shane Baz presents Baltimore with a promising swing-and-miss pitch that could effectively silence Seattle’s offense. The Mariners have been struggling with consistency offensively, and they were largely shut down last night before a late surge. Seattle continues to be plagued by injuries, and now Julio Rodriguez joins the list, further compromising their lineup depth. This makes it more challenging for them to create long, successful innings. Baz’s impressive velocity and strikeout ability provide him with a genuine opportunity to limit rallies, especially in a pitcher-friendly ballpark like T-Mobile.


The ballpark also favors the Under. T-Mobile Park is not an easy place to create cheap offense, and with a low total of 7.5, oddsmakers are already respecting the run-suppression setup. This is not a game where both lineups are expected to explode. Both teams have power, but the Under angle comes from limiting walks, keeping traffic light, and forcing solo shots instead of multi-run innings.


The most crucial factor is sequencing. If Woo and Baz can prevent a single dominant inning, this game will likely conclude in the 3-2, 4-2, or 4-3 range. With two capable starters, a pitcher-friendly setting, and Seattle’s offense still looking inconsistent, Under 7.5 is the bet for this game.


(2x-Rated Members Only) Pick: Under 7.5 +104


🍀Best of luck!

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