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Virginia Tech vs Tulane (11:00am)

Updated: Mar 7

Three points have been deducted from the initial total of 47.5 for a valid reason. During Pratt's tenure, the Green Wave boasted a potent offense, efficiently navigating the field. Presently, they find themselves with two relatively unknown quarterbacks who are likely to share playing time. Moreover, they lack Pratt's top two targets for this season. To compound the challenge, they will face the Hokies, who boast the eighth-best pass defense in college football. Anticipate a lower-scoring game as Tulane's inexperienced offense collides with a Hokies team keen on controlling the game with the nation's 32nd-ranked rushing attack.

Despite experiencing personnel losses, Tulane continues to showcase strength on the defensive front. The team boasts the 9th position in rush defense, the 19th spot with a 36.7% defensive success rate, the 23rd rank with 34 sacks, the 26th position with 82 tackles for loss, and the 15th position in EPA, a metric evaluating explosive plays allowed. Additionally, Tulane holds a place within the top 25 in defensive "havoc percentage," a metric that considers TFLs, forced fumbles, pass breakups, and interceptions. If the Green Wave can effectively nullify the ground game and exert pressure on Drones in the pocket, they have a great chance of disrupting the Hokies' offense.

All signs point towards the Under in this game; personally, I've assessed it to fall within the range of 41-44 points. Tulane has consistently favored the Under, achieving it in 11 out of their last 14 games, resulting in a +7.70u/50% ROI.

Pick: Under 44.5 (-120)

🍀Best of luck!



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