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Los Angeles Chargers vs Houston Texans (1:30pm)


Houston will emerge victorious in this game due to their stout defense. They possess a top-six pass rush (adjusted sack rate), ranking fifth in defensive EPA, sixth in success rate, and fifth in turnover EPA. On the other hand, the Chargers’ offense has shown signs of slowing down this season. Despite the brilliance of the Justin Herbert-Ladd McConkey duo, the offense as a whole has lacked consistency. Notably, they have struggled to score in the second halves, averaging just over 10 points in the final 30 minutes of games. This weakness could prove detrimental in the NFL playoffs.


Joe Mixon and Dameon Pierce could be the game-changers for Houston. The Texans have averaged 4.3 yards per carry this season, while the Chargers’ run defense has been vulnerable, ranking 26th in yards allowed per game. I anticipate Houston to dominate the early stages of the game by running the ball frequently. This strategy will limit the time of possession for Los Angeles and keep the game close. Considering the low projected total by the oddsmakers, I believe it’s wise to back the home underdog.


(3x-Rated Members Only)

Pick: Houston Texans +3 (-120)


🍀Best of luck!

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