Philadelphia is currently grappling with numerous injuries, leading to offensive struggles exacerbated by frequent changes in lineups. In the absence of Embiid, the Sixers have experienced a shift in their offensive approach, resulting in them scoring 121 points or fewer in 4 of their last 5 games. Notably, the Under has hit in 19 of the Sixers' last 26 games against teams with winning records.
On the other hand, Dallas has leaned towards the Under, hitting it in 7 of its last 10 matches, including 3 of its last 4 overall and 2 of its last 3 on the road. The Mavericks have failed to surpass 117 points in 7 of their last 10 games, with their most recent road game seeing them score just 87 points. Additionally, the Under has hit in 16 of the Mavericks' last 21 road games against teams with winning home records.
Despite SportsInsights reporting that 78% of the tickets and 87% of the money favor the Over, there hasn't been significant line movement on the total, indicating bookmakers' satisfaction with the set total. A slower-paced game is anticipated as both teams navigate through injuries. Based on my analysis, I expect this game to finish in the 235-238 point range.
Pick: Under 243.5 (-110)
🍀Best of luck!
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