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Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders (5:15pm)

Updated: Mar 7

I'm inclining towards the Over tonight, adopting a contrarian position against the prevailing "Prime-Time Under" trend that the public appears to be embracing. Despite encountering several trends favoring the Under, there's something about this specific situation that raises suspicion for me. Initially set at 42.5, the total sharply dropped to 34.5 at one point. Such a substantial decrease is challenging to justify, particularly when considering Herbert's impact. It seems like an exaggerated reaction to his influence on the game.

From my perspective, we could witness a higher-scoring match than what the majority expects. The Chargers tend to adjust their game to the level of their opponents, especially when playing away. Noteworthy is the fact that the Over has prevailed in 9 out of the Chargers' last 13 road games against teams with a losing home record. This indicates the potential for more points on the scoreboard than conventional wisdom suggests.

Sportsinsights is reporting over 80% of the money and tickets are on the Under tonight! We're obtaining close to a touchdown in value with this total. Keep an eye out for both teams to kick their offenses into gear and accumulate points on the scoreboard. Based on my analysis, I have handicapped this game at 39-42 points combined. Take the Over!

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Pick: Over 35.5 (-116)

🍀Best of luck!



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