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I’m backing Guardians/Rays Under 6.5 runs tonight. The biggest reason is the starting pitching matchup. Tampa Bay sends Freddy Peralta to the mound, and he enters Game 2 with a 1.93 postseason ERA and 0.86 WHIP. He’s been especially sharp since joining Tampa Bay, and Cleveland is facing a much different challenge than the Rays bullpen they were able to get to late in Game 1. On the other side, Parker Messick gives Cleveland a great chance to control Tampa Bay's lineup. His 5.40 postseason ERA...

I like the Rams to win this game by more than a field goal tonight. Buffalo is obviously dangerous with Josh Allen, but this is a tough matchup for a Bills team dealing with some significant injuries, especially against a Rams offense that has the personnel to attack Buffalo's biggest weakness. The biggest advantage for Los Angeles is Stafford against this Buffalo secondary. The Bills have allowed 256.2 passing yards per game and 10 passing touchdowns through four games, and now they have to...

Green Bay Packers +1.5 (-110) This is one of my favorite spots on the board because I believe Green Bay has the most important advantage in this matchup: Jordan Love against a Chicago defense that plays directly into his strengths. With the Packers catching +1.5 at Lambeau Field, I think Green Bay has an excellent chance not only to cover the number but to win this game outright. Jordan Love is the Biggest Mismatch The quarterback difference is where this handicap starts. Chicago is expected...