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Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees (4:05pm)

I've eagerly anticipated this game throughout the day! My enthusiasm for the Over 7 in this pitching matchup knows no bounds. Although the Yankees have struggled to produce offense lately, I believe this game will mark their resurgence. Analytical data, in comparison to actual results, suggests that both starting pitchers are susceptible. They exhibit favorable batting-average-on-balls-in-play rates when runners are in scoring position. Berrios, in particular, has faced an increasing amount of hard contact in recent outings and has accumulated a daunting 5.52 ERA across his six all-time starts at Yankee Stadium. Nevertheless, he boasts respectable statistics with a 3.49 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP. It's worth noting that Berrios has allowed only 14 hits and 4 runs in his last 20 innings. However, I have a strong intuition that regression may come into play tonight. The Yankees have a track record of favoring the Over in their home games, with 20 of their last 33 games hitting this mark, resulting in a notable +7.75 unit gain and a 21% return on investment (ROI).

Pick: Over 7 (-105)

🍀Best of luck!


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