Tennessee Titans vs Miami Dolphins (5:15pm)
The Titans are facing a desperate situation with a four-game losing streak as they prepare for Monday Night Football in South Beach. Their adversary, the Dolphins, enters the game with a three-game winning streak, consistently scoring over 33 points in each triumph. Tonight's matchup revolves around scoring, and with the current total set at 45, there's a significant opportunity to capitalize on this primetime game.
The Titans' pass defense has been subpar, conceding 312 yards, two touchdowns, and a 100.5 rating to G. Minshew last week. Ranked 30th with a 98.8 rating and allowing 7.7 yards per attempt, the Titans' pass defense faces a huge challenge. Of particular concern is their 31st ranking in allowing a 108.6 rating to wide receivers, creating a favorable scenario for Tua Tagovailoa to potentially deliver another exceptional performance. Tagovailoa is on the cusp of a career-best season with 3,457 yards and 24 touchdowns.
Despite the daunting outlook, the Titans could stay competitive by establishing a robust running game. Last week, Miami allowed 140 yards, 4.0 yards per carry, and two touchdowns to the Commanders, providing Derrick Henry an opportunity to build on his impressive 100-yard, 2-touchdown performance against the Colts. Notably, the Titans boast a 6-2-1 record against the spread in their last 9 games following a contest where they accumulated over 150 rushing yards.
Although the initial total for the game was set at 47 points and later adjusted to 45, indicating a public inclination towards the under, I believe it's due to the "primetime under" trend floating around the internet. I anticipate more Overs coming into play, especially considering that I have handicapped this game at 48 points, offering a 3-point value. Take the Over.
Pick: Over 45 (-110)
🍀Best of luck!