North Carolina vs North Carolina State (5:00pm)
Both teams prefer a deliberate pace on the court, and North Carolina, with a 61 Adjusted Tempo, deviates from the faster tempo we've grown accustomed to seeing. Their offensive strategy revolves around utilizing their big players and prioritizing a strong defensive effort while minimizing turnovers. In the last two matchups against Clemson and Pittsburgh, both contests concluded with total scores falling below the expected threshold, suggesting a trend likely to continue in this game. Remarkably, the combined scores in their last five road games have averaged only 146 points.
The imposing size and physicality of UNC are anticipated to pose significant challenges for NC State in this matchup. Despite facing a challenging schedule this season, North Carolina is well-prepared for this game and unlikely to be caught off guard. Notably, the Under has been successful in 11 out of the Tar Heels' last 14 road games. According to my calculations, this game is expected to fall within the range of 145-148 points combined. Therefore, my recommendation is to take the Under!
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Pick: Under 153 (-110)
🍀Best of luck!