Kent State vs Buffalo (3:30pm)
Buffalo has endured significant challenges this season, evident in their 2-18 overall record and a scant 1-7 standing in conference play. Consistently labeled as the clear underdogs, even against underperforming teams, they haven't tasted victory since January 3, grappling with a seven-game losing streak. Offensively, the Bulls face hurdles, shooting a modest 40.9% from the field, ranking 332nd in the nation. They've amassed 1,344 points this season, averaging 67.2 points per game. Despite securing an average of 36.0 rebounds per game, their assisting rate of 12.4 times per game lags, placing them at 258th in college basketball. Turnovers remain a persistent issue, with the team losing possession 15.1 times per game.
Kent State should not overly exude confidence as the favored team, considering the unpredictability inherent in sports. However, by maintaining focus and avoiding underestimating Buffalo, they should clinch victory without much difficulty. Kent State exhibits superior scoring and defensive prowess compared to the Bulls, ranking 11th in both offense and defense within the MAC. The Golden Flashes rank 178th in the nation in KenPom's adjusted efficiency rankings, with a placement of 158th in adjusted offensive efficiency and 232nd in adjusted defensive efficiency. They rank 104th in points per game and 164th in effective field goal percentage.
The initial total for the game started at 148.5 but decreased to 147.5 overnight, influenced by sharp bettors favoring the Under. With no buyback at the current number, it's anticipated that tonight's game will yield lower scores. Notably, the Under prevailed in 8 out of Buffalo's last 11 games following a straight-up loss and in 7 out of 9 instances when they were listed as underdogs. Based on analysis, the game is expected to fall within the 142-145 point range.
Pick: Under 147.5 (-110)
🍀Best of luck!