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Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox (4:10pm)





The Red Sox are on a five-game winning streak but I see that ending tonight! Houston is seeking revenge after losing 5-1 to Boston last Thursday. Martin Perez dominated the Astros in their last game shutting them out in 7.2 innings or work! However, Perez has allowed an average of 4.4 runs in an average of 4.33 innings of work with a 1.96 WHIP this season. I'm predicting Martin Perez will be regressing while his counterpart Framber Valdez will be on an upswing! Valdez will be making his third start since returning from the IL and I expect him to have a quality start. He's allowed just one run in 7 innings against the Red Sox. Houston is ranked 3rd in the league in wOBA against lefties while Boston is ranked just 15th. I see value backing the short favorite on the road tonight, I have the Astros as a -130 favorite. My models and system have the Astros winning by 1-2 runs! Prediction: 5 Astros 3 Red Sox