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San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves (4:35pm)

I've been checking out the Over/Under betting trends for the MLB and I noticed the Unders are hitting at a 54% clip for the past two weeks. I'm predicting the Overs will start to trend for the next few weeks or so to even things out on the year.

I went to several different gambling forums this afternoon and noticed most of the people in the Covers contest has picking the Under for this game. Clayton Richard pitched an absolute gem on the road against the Marlins going seven innings strong allowing just one-run on two hits. He's been solid all season but I'm expect him to totally regress in this matchup against the Braves. Atlanta is hitting.372 against left handed pitchers in their last 5 games and Richards will be catching them at a bad time!

You typically won't find me betting on pitcher's who have a WHIP higher than 1.4 to 1.5 or so! Brandon McCarthy has a 1.49 WHIP and a ridiculous 5.03 ERA this season! He's given up over 11 runs in his last three games and is getting torched. I predict the Padres to have their offense wake up and get a good share of runs on McCarthy. My models and system have 10-11 runs in this game. Take the Over!

Pick: Over 8 (-115)

Best of luck!


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