Cincinnati Reds vs Arizona Diamondbacks (6:40pm)
Name the last time the Diamondbacks won back to back games? Arizona hasn't won back to back games since May 20th and people are continuing to dump money on the Diamondbacks tonight. This game has all the makings of a blowout for the Cincinnati Reds. You got the erratic pitching of Zack Godley, the inconsistent offense and facing a pitcher that has good success against your team. Godley has posted a 5.83 ERA in his last eight starts and has allowed 50 hits in 41 2/3 innings over that span. To make matters worse Godley owns a ridiculous 11.91 ERA against the Reds.
I'm backing my money on Luis Castillo and the Reds tonight. I believe he's the better pitcher in this matchup and we are getting plus money. My models have Cincinnati favored by -110 so getting anything better is really a gift. This right-hander is throwing 99 mph fastballs and striking out at-least a batter an inning. Castillo is 2-1 against the Diamondbacks and owns a 2.84 ERA in over 12 2/3 innings of work. Reds are 4-0 in Castillos last 4 starts and 5-2 following a loss.
Pick: Cincinnati Reds ML (+109) Best of luck!