Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors (6:05pm)
The Under has hit three straight times and the oddsmakers are forced to adjust their total. The total for this game is set at 213 and has dropped 6 points from game 5! There is no way that Chris Paul is really worth the 6 point adjustment? I'm seeing a 60/40 split with the public betting the Over via SportsInsights but I noticed some offshore books are still dropping the total, some even offering the total at 212.5 right now. This tells me that the majority of people are likely betting the Under tonight and to probably stay away from that side of the total. I've been fading the public for years now and it has always been profitable for me.
Law of Averages: Another reason that I believe the total will go over is because of how bad both teams are shooting right now from behind the arc. Houston won the last two games despite the horrific shooting from James Harden. Harden missed his last 20 three-point attempts and went 0-11 from behind the arc in his last game against Golden State. The Warriors has failed to score over 100 points again and it's also due to their three-point shooting. The lack of ball movement and creating for others has really brought down their efficiency in this series but I predict both teams to get their offense going in this run and gun type game. I have this handicapped at 218 points so anything less is a steal. Take the Over.
Pick: Over 213 (-110) Best of luck!