#NBA (4:30pm PST)
Pick: Heat -2.5 (-110)
Risk: 4.4/4.0 (5%)
These two teams are heading towards opposite directions right now. The Blazers have now lost five straight games! Giving up over 113.4 points per game in that span.
Miami is coming off a successful short road-trip winning two of the three games away from American Airlines Arena. The Heat tonight are seeking revenge from their last home loss to Portland on 3/19/17 (104-115) where Damian Lillard went off for 49 points. Lillard shot 9-12 from behind the arc!
I didn’t expect to see majority on the public on the Blazers tonight due to their recent losing streak. I believe the public are overvaluing the last two covers against the Warriors and Rockets. Even with Whiteside sitting out my models and system have the Heat beating the Trailblazers by 6-7 points tonight. The recent success of the Heat has been due to the effort on the defensive end. I look for the Heat to clamp things down this time around against the 3 ball. My models and system has the Heat winning by 6-7 points tonight. Lay the points!
Heat are 15-7-1 (68%) against the spread in their last 23 vs. Western Conference.
Best of luck!