Cleveland Indians vs Baltimore Orioles (4:05pm)
Pick: Over 9 (+100)
The Under between the Indians and Orioles tonight is one of the most wagered games right now. It's almost a split with 54% of the wagers being placed on the Over and 46% on the Under. More than 72% of the money is on the Under so that would more than likely be the book's exposure on the game. I haven't seen any movement on the juice for the Under either so I'm almost certain they are comfortable taking even more action on this total.
The Orioles are 23-11 at home this season and their bats are on fire right now. Baltimore's offense is hitting over .321 against right handers in their last 5 games! Betting anything but the Over would be like playing russian roulette! This past weekend, Baltimore scored over 25+ runs against the Cardinals in a 3 game series win. I predict their offense will continue generating 7-8 runs per game for the next 3-5 days.
The Indians head into this series with a chip on their shoulders after being swept by the Orioles almost a year ago at Oriole Park. Cleveland is coming off an impressive 4 game sweep against the Minnesota Twins this past weekend and will use that momentum to snap a 4 game losing streak to Baltimore.
We are going to get runs early and often by both teams tonight. Look for Jonathan Schoop to have a big game for the Orioles. He's gotten the best of Corey Kluber so far in career, he boast an incredible .444 batting average against Kluber. The Indians are hitting .294 against Dylan Bundy and I feel the offense will score no less than 6 runs tonight. My models and system handicapped this game at 12 runs.
Hot Betting Trends
Over is 4-0 in Indians last 4 vs. American League East.
Over is 8-2 in Orioles last 10 overall.
7 Indians 5 Orioles
Best of Luck!