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Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Clippers (7:30pm)

December 7, 2016

The Warriors are playing better than experts and oddsmakers have predicted! Golden State is rolling right now and it's due to their unstoppable offense! They are averaging 120.2 points per game which is the best in the League.  Steph Curry is averaging 26.2 points per game while Klay Thompson is throwing up 22.5 ppg in the front court. Newly acquired Kevin Durant is contributing with 27 points and 4.7 assist (Career-High) per game for Golden State.

 

The Clippers are still looking for some consistency after splitting their last 8 games.  Blake Griffin continues to dominate for the Clippers averaging 21.1 points and adding over 9.0 rebounds a game. Chris Paul has also played very well this season averaging 17.8 points and 9.1 assists a game. The team isaveraging 37.4% behind the three point arc this season. 

 

At first glance it seemed like the obvious choice was to bet the Over ( 225 ) tonight but as I dug more into the game I realized the right play is the Under! Tonight will have feel a playoff game as these teams will face off in another rivalry game. It's simple to say that these teams don't like each other much and both teams will play with a chip on their shoulders. The public consensus is showing over 80% of the public betting the over tonight but the line has recently dropped from 225.5 to 225. This leaves me to believe that the book is getting hit with some sharp action on the Under. My systems and models shows no more than 215 points combined by both of these teams. Defense will be the main focus for both teams tonight. Take the Under.

 

Pick: Under 225 (-105)

 

Warriors 120 Clippers 95

 

Best of luck!

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