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Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins (5:10pm)

September 7, 2016

 

Everyone is writing off Ervin Santana and the total seems to have reflected it. The total opened up at 8.5 and has moved to 9 at most shops.The Twins have one of the worst pitching rotations in the MLB, ranked 29th, allowing a 5.16 ERA this season. Santana will make the start for the Twins, with a 7-10 record this season and a 3.54 ERA, Santana has improved from last season but has not been productive with a horrible 3.62 run support.

 

Consensus showed that 80% of the public was betting the Over despite the line moving to 9 (-105) I felt this would be the perfect trap by the oddsmakers. Browsing through gambling forums like Covers.com I noticed many of service plays were also on the Over. There were tons of trends that supported the over but I'm going to take my chances tonight and go contrarian. 

 

Best of luck!

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October 19, 2019

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