The Pirates are 9-1 in their last 10 vs. American League Central and 10-3 in Burnett's last 13 starts.
The Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League Central and 10-4 in Ventura's last 14 home starts.
The Pirates are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Kansas City and 5-1 in the last 6 meetings overall.
Tonight, I'm predicting a slug fest between these two teams. Both teams have been playing great baseball entering the All- Star break. There is no signs of them slowing down tonight, after a long break I like to take the over due to the pitchers getting an extended break. It usually will take a game or two in get the engine running again and I predict both offenses will take advantage.
The line movement on the total suggests the over is the right play for tonight. More than 70% of the public is betting on the under. The total opened at 7.5 and closed at 7, the change reflects the public consensus. Look for 9-10 runs this evening.
Pick: Over 7 (-115)